I've written on multiple occasions that the best advice I could give to anyone filling out NCAA tourney brackets is that nobody knows what's going to happen. Certainly not the "experts" on TV.
In 2011 you could have won your pool by picking strictly based on what breed of dogs you like. When Butler made it back to the championship game for a second consecutive season that year (as a #8 seed), I called it maybe the most amazing thing in sports history. Even 3rd-seeded UConn winning that title was shocking in it's own right; the Huskies had finished the regular season in a three-way tie for 9th place in the Big East.
Now Connecticut is back on another improbable run, this time as a #7 seed. In the history of the tournament, only two schools had ever previously reached the final game as a 7th seed or lower. One is the aforementioned 2011 Butler squad. The other is Ed Pinckney's 1985 Villanova club (a #8) that upset Patrick Ewing and Georgetown in one of the most famous college basketball games of all-time (pictured).
Somehow this year both finalists fit that description, with Kentucky being a #8 seed. It's impossible to predict this stuff; nobody knows what's going to happen. From 1996:
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