With Kevin Durant joining the Warriors, the general response/consensus is that Golden State will now be an unbeatable super-team:
The NBA is about to witness the firepower of a fully armed and operational battle station. pic.twitter.com/XOqEAtmaLB— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) July 5, 2016
If you use the warriors in 2k17 your automatically weak lol.— Isaiah Thomas (@Isaiah_Thomas) July 4, 2016
Kind of like playing with the Blackhawks in NHL '94, right Isaiah?
The Warriors are better than the Team USA that will compete in this summer's Olympics.— Jay King (@ByJayKing) July 4, 2016
(How about the Celtics, by the way?)Multiple sportsbooks now posting updated #NBA Title odds. Here's the current consensus: pic.twitter.com/qgRUQc1tzN— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) July 4, 2016
I do think the Warriors should be overwhelming title favorites in 2016-17. But, the thing everybody is forgetting is that they were the best team ever this past regular season--there really isn't much room for improvement.
Despite the talent upgrade, Golden State is unlikely to win as many games next year as it did in 2015-16. It just goes against the laws of probability for the all-time NBA wins record to be broken in back-to-back seasons. Guys will get hurt and stars will be rested. The Warriors may also be so good that they'll lose motivation from time to time.
Most importantly, ever opponent on their schedule will be giving its best shot on a nightly basis. Isaiah Thomas said this today:
Isaiah on facing the Warriors: "When we play against those guys, we’re going to try to do everything we can to beat them."— Adam Himmelsbach (@AdamHimmelsbach) July 9, 2016
Vegas agrees with me:
Warriors are +500 to win 74 games or more via Westgate— Hardwood Paroxysm (@HPbasketball) July 7, 2016
I honestly believe 5/1 odds (equivalent to +500) are too good--I'd put Golden State's chances at going 74-8 or better below 10 percent.
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